Incrementality testing that proves what works.

Lift tests, geo tests and holdouts that show the sales your ads actually cause, and where your budget should go next.

Retargeting holdout · 4 weeksWhat the ads really added
Illustrative example
Test group (saw ads) 1,180
Control group (no ads) 980
Incremental sales200Test minus control
Platform reported4207-day click, 1-day view
Really caused48%of reported sales
→

Cut retargeting budget by a third, move it to prospecting, and set targets on the incremental number.

Sized before launchClear answer ✓
Measured onTotal salesFrom your own data

In short

Brightpace designs and reads out incrementality tests (Meta Conversion Lift, Google Ads conversion lift and experiments, geo tests and retargeting or brand-search holdouts) to find the sales your ads actually cause and the incremental ROAS behind them.

Best for
Brands that want proof a channel, retargeting or brand search really adds sales
Delivers
Incremental sales, incremental ROAS and a budget decision
Available as
Part of media management, or a standalone project
How we work
AI-native: AI speeds up research, creative testing and reporting, and a senior specialist makes every call.

Platforms count sales. Tests count the ones ads cause.

Every ad platform reports the sales it can link to an ad. It can’t tell you which of those would have happened anyway: the loyal customer who clicked a retargeting ad on the way to buying, or the brand search from someone your TV or social campaign had already convinced. Add the platforms up and you’ll often get more sales than the business made.

An incrementality test answers the question directly. Hold ads back from a control group, by person or by region, and the gap in sales is what your advertising caused. We design and size each test, run it on the platform’s own lift tools or as a geo test, and read it out as incremental sales and incremental ROAS with a clear budget decision. Our founder has designed and read out lift tests in-house for a large multi-market advertiser. New to the idea? Read our guide to lift tests.

MetaConversion Lift studies
Google AdsConversion lift & experiments
YouTubeGeo tests across regions
TikTok, LinkedIn & moreGeo tests on total sales
Offline & brand searchHoldouts by region
(01) What we run

Tests designed to give an answer.

01

Platform lift tests

Meta Conversion Lift and Google Ads conversion lift, where your account is eligible: test and control groups split by person inside the platform, so the result isn’t affected by attribution windows.

02

Geo tests for any channel

Ads on in some regions and off in others, compared on total sales from your own data. For channels that can’t split by person, such as YouTube, brand search, programmatic and offline media. Google’s free GeoX tool helps plan them.

03

Retargeting & brand-search holdouts

The two places platform numbers most often flatter. We test how many of those sales would have happened anyway, so budget stops following credit it didn’t earn. See how awareness channels drive brand search.

04

Sized before it starts

Every test is sized for your sales volume first: how long it needs, how big the control group should be and the smallest effect it can detect. No tests too small to give an answer. Try it with our sample size calculator.

05

Honest read-outs

Incremental sales and incremental ROAS, shown with their uncertainty ranges, next to what the platform reported. A result that isn’t clear is reported as not clear.

06

Results that change the plan

Each read-out ends with a budget decision, updated targets for each platform, and the next test to run. Results can also calibrate a marketing mix model.

(02) How we work

From question to budget decision.

  1. 01

    Pick the question

    Start with the biggest pound-for-pound uncertainty: retargeting, brand search, a new channel or a platform you’re about to scale.

  2. 02

    Design and size the test

    Lift test, geo test or holdout; test and control groups; how long it runs; and what result would change the budget. Agreed before anything goes live.

  3. 03

    Run, read out, act

    We monitor the test, then report incremental sales, iROAS and the decision it supports. See the maths with our incrementality calculator.

(03) Everything you need

What's included in an incrementality test.

Get a quote →
Three colleagues laughing while reviewing campaign results together
  • Test plan

    Which question to test first, which method fits, and what result would change the budget.

  • Sizing & design

    Test and control groups, duration and the smallest effect the test can detect.

  • Set-up & monitoring

    Platform lift studies configured or geo splits built, then checked while the test runs.

  • Read-out

    Incremental sales and iROAS, with uncertainty ranges, against what the platform reported.

  • Budget decision

    What to scale, cut or change, and updated targets for each platform.

  • Next test

    What to test next, so measurement keeps improving rather than stopping at one result.

(04) What it answers

Four questions platforms can’t answer.

01

Is retargeting adding sales?

Or is it reaching people who were already going to buy? Retargeting often looks brilliant in Ads Manager and far less so in a holdout.

02

Is brand search capturing or creating?

Brand search mostly collects demand other channels created. A geo holdout shows how much you’d keep without paying for the click.

03

Is the new channel working?

YouTube, TikTok or CTV rarely get fair credit from click-based tracking. A geo test measures their effect on total sales.

04

Can we trust the reported numbers?

A lift test shows how far a platform’s 7-day click, 1-day view figures overstate what its ads cause, so you can set targets on the real number.

(05) Included or as a project

Part of the service, or on its own.

If we run your ads, lift tests are planned into the account as it grows, starting with the channel where the reported numbers are least certain. Ask for a quote.

Already have an agency or an in-house team? We design, size and read out a test as a standalone project, quoted up front, so you get an independent answer about what’s working.

Incrementality testing sits at the heart of our measurement work. It relies on tracking you can trust (see server-side tracking), and for larger budgets it calibrates marketing mix modelling. For the thinking behind it, read MER vs ROAS vs POAS.

(06) FAQ

Incrementality testing questions.

Anything else, ask the person who would run your account.

Ask a question →
01What is incrementality testing?

Incrementality testing measures the extra sales or leads your advertising actually causes. You compare a group that sees your ads with a control group that doesn’t, by people or by region, and the difference between them is the lift. It answers a different question from attribution: not which ad gets credit for a sale, but whether the sale would have happened without the ads.

02What is the difference between a lift test and a geo test?

A lift test, such as Meta Conversion Lift, splits people into test and control groups inside one platform. A geo test splits regions instead: ads run in some areas and not others, and you compare sales across them. Geo tests work for any channel, including ones that can’t split by person, such as YouTube, brand search, programmatic or out-of-home, and they measure total sales rather than platform-tracked conversions.

03How long does an incrementality test take?

Usually two to six weeks of testing, plus time to design it beforehand and read it out afterwards. The length depends on how many sales you get and how big the effect is likely to be. We size every test before it starts, so it runs long enough to give a clear answer and no longer.

04How much do I need to spend to run a lift test?

Enough for the difference between test and control to stand out from normal day-to-day variation. That depends on your sales volume more than your budget alone. Platform lift tests also have their own eligibility rules, and some need a Meta or Google account team to set up. We’ll tell you honestly whether your account is big enough before you commit.

05Which channels can you test?

Meta with Conversion Lift, Google Ads with conversion lift and campaign experiments where your account is eligible, and any channel with a geo test: Google search (including brand search), YouTube, TikTok, LinkedIn, programmatic, CTV and offline media. We also run holdout tests on retargeting and brand search, where platform numbers most often flatter.

06What is incremental ROAS?

Incremental ROAS (iROAS) is the revenue your ads actually caused, divided by what you spent. It’s usually lower than the ROAS a platform reports, because platform ROAS also counts people who would have bought anyway. It’s the better number for deciding where the next pound goes. Try the maths with our incrementality calculator.

07What if a test shows a channel isn’t working?

Then you’ve found money to move. A low result rarely means switching a channel off overnight: we look at what the test covered, cut back gradually, and move budget to where the tests and the numbers say it will add more. A test that shows a channel works is just as useful, because it gives you the confidence to scale it.

08Is incrementality testing the same as A/B testing?

Not quite. An A/B test compares two versions of something, such as two ads or two landing pages, and tells you which performs better. An incrementality test compares ads with no ads, and tells you whether the advertising is adding sales at all.

09How does it fit with marketing mix modelling?

They work together. A marketing mix model estimates every channel’s contribution from your history and shows where it is least certain; a lift test then proves the biggest claim, and its result is fed back to calibrate the model. Smaller advertisers usually start with lift tests alone.

10Can you do this if another agency runs our ads?

Yes. Incrementality tests can be designed and read out as a standalone project, alongside whoever manages your accounts. That gives you an independent answer about what’s working.

11How much does incrementality testing cost?

For management clients, lift tests are planned into the account as it grows. As a standalone project, each test is quoted up front once we’ve seen your channels and sales volume, covering design, set-up support and the read-out. Platform lift tests themselves have no extra fee from Meta or Google beyond your ad spend.

(07) Next step
Find out which sales your ads really cause. →

Tell us which channels you run and roughly how many sales you get each week, and we’ll tell you which test would answer your biggest question.